When to Book a Hotel Room

I am always amused when I read travel advice inwhich people never consider that it makes a
national newspapers and on-line magazines written bydefinitive answer impossible. Rooms sell as a
their in-house 'experts'. One recent article I camecommodity - supply and demand (and hotel owner
across from a prominent internet travel magazine hadpolicy) dictates what rooms might rent for, not logic.
travel author state that it is ALWAYS better toIt seems fair to assume the early bird gets the
book hotels in advance, especially cheap hotels. I'veworm but I often see people who paid $107 six
read other articles that claim waiting until you arrivemonths prior come in on the heels of someone I
at your destination will net you the lowest rate. Soquoted $88 to a half hour earlier. What hurts is when
which is it?the reverse is true and rooms are scarce anywhere
Here's a pair of actual recent events for you: Ain the area. The early bird definitely gets the worm
guest checked in on a night when I was rentingand that worm is saving them almost $50.
rooms for $88.00 plus tax. This guest had bookedFinally, consider this. The night I mentioned I was
weeks earlier through an internet travel site and hadrenting rooms for $159? I told perhaps a dozen
paid $109 before all taxes and fees. One night earlier,people I was sold out when I actually had 2 rooms.
a guest checked in that had reserved a room 5 daysWhy? Because sometimes things happen and
earlier for $109 plus tax. I had rented my remainingsomeone on staff (like ME) made a mistake and a
rooms that night for $159.00 plus tax.guaranteed reservation that we entered for the
Doesn't seem to make sense - book early pay more,wrong date shows up. Or perhaps a valued frequent
book later pay less? Just to confuse matters evenguest calls and needs a last minute room. Or
more, on a recent night when we were rentingsomething breaks in a room like a water pipe and
rooms for $119, a guest who had booked a weekyou need to move someone. Saving a couple rooms
earlier paid $107 and another guest who had bookedwhen you know you will rent them eventually
months earlier also paid 107.00. A guest who bookedanyway is just plain smart. So how do you the
earlier in the same day paid $129.00 however, sopotential guest figure this out? I could offer a
now the reverse seemed true: book early, pay less,suggestion but you would think it self-serving so I'll
book late, pay more. What's going on?leave it up to you to ponder. Suffice to say that
In the case of the experts, what's going on is thatvery rarely does anyone ever question me and
they are both right. And both wrong as well. WhatNEVER do they seem to consider the possibilities. So
they should be saying is SOMETIMES it pays to bookI sit on my vacant rooms and they continue driving
early and sometimes to wait until you land. As anendlessly looking for one in an area where few if any
'expert' myself, some might suggest that is a cop-outrooms are still vacant.
answer but there are so many factors involved